I’m no economist, but I have become
convinced that our consuming societies,
at least in the economically “developed”
world, have become sources of harm to
ourselves and our planet. One has
only to read about single-use products (for example, plastic bags and
bottles, packaging material, straws,
paper cups, gift wrapping) or short-use products (for example, mobile
phones and other electronics) to recognize this is a serious and huge problem. This consumption drives a significant part of the economy. It isn’t
just relatively modest per-item costs
either. We probably don’t use automobiles as long as we could (and should)
before we want the latest and greatest.
There is a category of goods called
durable goods that typically have longer usage. Washing machines, refrigerators, ovens, stove tops, fireplaces,
utensils, and dishes fall into this category. This line of reasoning makes
me wonder whether we could shift
the pollution needle toward longer
use products as substitutes.
While it is not a solution to all short-use goods, software can contribute
new functionality without requiring
replacement of the underlying hardware. A good example of this is found
with the Tesla electric cars. They are
heavily dependent on software for
their operation and upgrades with
new functionality are frequent and
unobtrusive. One wonders whether
this concept could increase the useful lifetime of at least some products.
Of course, the idea is not useful for
nonprogrammable goods, like plastic
bottles and paper towels!
However, it is worth thinking about
the design of products to maximize
ease of repair, durability, and perhaps
also repurposing. For example, imag-
ine glass jars designed to be useful as
cups as well as being reused as con-
tainers. Remember Mason jars for
preserving fruits and vegetables for
the winter? Or the glass bottles that
soft drinks came in that were re-
deemed for two cents and reused by
the bottling companies? What about
reversible clothing? I remember sav-
ing animal fat and turning it into
soap (OK, I suppose that would be a
bit extreme today). None of these are
new ideas but they make me wonder
about increasing the value of durabil-
ity and decreasing the attraction of
throwaway products.
I guess that changing the value
system is a form of social engineer-
ing and not so easy. One would look
for incentives for consumers and
producers to induce such a change.
It’s also important to understand
how such a trend would affect the
economy. Consumption drives pro-
duction and expenditure. Would
the “velocity of money” change sig-
nificantly in a society that values
durability? How might that affect
economic indicators such as gross
domestic product (GDP)? Would
this change income and wealth in-
equality? Would it affect the way in
which companies are valued? Prof-
it growth as a metric of corporate
value may induce behaviors that
are not conducive to societal well-
being if the side effects are pollu-
tion, waste, and externalizing costs
(for example, shipping trash out of
the country). I’m not qualified to
answer any of these questions, but
they all seem to me worthy of asking.
Returning to the possible role of
software and computing, one wonders whether these tools could be
applied to the design of durable and
reusable products? I am thinking
not only of programmable goods but
of other products that would benefit from flexible designs. It used to
be the case that repair of products
and inventory of spare parts added
value to the products. Products today seem to be designed not for repair but replacement. Could we apply our machine learning and other
software tools to make products
more repairable rather than less? It
is possible that modularity of design
could play a role although it might
increase the cost of production but
perhaps reduce the lifetime cost of
use. We have tried to make products
recyclable but this seems to have
been only partially effective. Perhaps
a return to durability is worthy of
consideration. Of course, I may have
been influenced by the fact that I live
in a house full of antiques, some of
which are over 200 years old—not
counting me. At some point, the value of used furniture goes from zero
to ridiculously expensive.
Vinton G. Cerf is vice president and Chief Internet Evangelist
at Google. He served as ACM president from 2012–2014.
Copyright held by author.
On Durability
DOI: 10.1145/3377424 Vinton G. Cerf